Betting Breakdown: Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos at UFC Vegas 112

Kevin Vallejos

The featherweight co-main event at UFC Vegas 112 on December 13, 2025, pits Georgian veteran Giga Chikadze against rising Argentine prospect Kevin Vallejos in what bookmakers have framed as a significant clash. Vallejos opened as the betting favorite across major sportsbooks, establishing a clear market consensus that the younger fighter carries an advantage in this matchup.

Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos Odds

The initial Sports betting moneyline opened at approximately -250 for Vallejos, positioning him as a 2-to-1 favorite in many markets. Chikadze consequently carried +210 odds at opening. Since the line’s posting, modest movement has occurred across the major sportsbooks. Current closing odds show Vallejos ranging from -265 to -300 depending on the sportsbook, with Chikadze offered between +200 and +240. The shift has widened Vallejos’ edge slightly, indicating sharp money has consistently favored the Argentine fighter despite balanced public interest.

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Vallejos holds a record at 16-1, with his only career loss arriving against then-unbeaten Jean Silva. Both opponents carry identical 2-0 UFC records, yet their career trajectories diverge significantly. Chikadze enters on a two-fight losing streak, having dropped decisions to David Onama and Arnold Allen. His record sits at 15-5 overall, with an 8-3 UFC tally. Age and experience gaps, Chikadze is 37 while Vallejos is 23, create distinct psychological betting narratives, with the younger fighter’s physical advantages seemingly reflected in the odds structure.​

First-round outcomes favor Vallejos substantially. The Argentine fighter’s ability to produce early finishes, he recorded several first-round finishes during his amateur and professional career, translates to +500 odds for a round-one victory. Chikadze holds +900 for the same outcome, reflecting his reputation as a methodical, precision striker rather than an aggressive opener. Second-round finishes show widening odds gaps, with Vallejos at +600 compared to Chikadze at +1200.​

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Sharper money has favored Chikadze despite his recent struggles, according to one analytical model examining professional betting patterns. This divergence between public perception and sharp action suggests experienced bettors view value in the veteran’s experience, depth of resume, and technical striking foundation.

The matchup presents a classic narrative where market consensus favors youth and momentum, yet professional betting patterns reveal opportunities for contrarian positioning. Vallejos’ opening as a clear favorite reflects his record and finishing ability, while the persistent sharp money supporting Chikadze signals that his veteran expertise may be an edge.