Can Michael ‘Venom’ Page cash the KO Bet against Sam Patterson at UFC London?
Michael “Venom” Page enters UFC London as the clear betting favorite against Sam Patterson, and the market leans toward his most likely win condition being a knockout, even if decision is still live in some pieces. Sportsbooks broadly price Page as a mid-range favorite on the moneyline and offer plus-money on a KO/TKO outcome, which has attracted attention from bettors looking to back a striking finish.
Michael ‘Venom’ Page knockout odds: will London get a finish at UFC O2?
Across major markets, Page is sitting in the favorite range, commonly around -180 to a bit over -200, with Patterson at underdog prices in the +150 to around +200 region depending on the operator and timing, where many bettors will also look to see more bonus choices tied to method-of-victory props. That pricing shows Page as the A-side with name value and experience, while still leaving Patterson as a live dog drawing some action from those backing an upset.
In prop markets, the prominent angle has been Page by KO/TKO at roughly +200 to a little above that, viewed as a value side by some betting previews. Other preview writers lean more conservative, suggesting Page by decision or late stoppage while still agreeing he should control the striking over three rounds.
Page faces fellow Englishman Sam Patterson in a three-round welterweight bout at UFC London on March 21, 2026, at The O2 Arena in London. The fight sits on the main card of a London event headlined by Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy at featherweight. This is Page’s return to welterweight after a run at middleweight, where he picked up back-to-back wins over Jared Cannonier and Shara Magomedov.
Page is described as a long, switch-stance striker who works best at range, using his movement and timing to create sudden knockdowns and finishes when opponents overextend. Analysts emphasize his speed, accuracy, and ability to hit without being hit, built on a point-karate style that has historically made him hard to track down cleanly. Coming off wins over larger opponents at middleweight, he brings confidence and proven durability back down to 170 pounds.
Patterson’s profile explains why a KO line on Page is tempting for bettors: he is aggressive, pursues first-round finishes and is willing to trade in the pocket, but he is criticized for linear pressure, limited head movement, and defensive gaps that can be punished by a sharp counter-striker. Several previews mention that Patterson’s attacking mindset and willingness to hunt knockouts could force high-risk exchanges early, which is exactly where Page’s timing and counters become most dangerous.
For Page, a knockout in front of a home-country crowd would deliver his first UFC finish, reinforcing his case as a serious welterweight contender as he weighs which division offers the quickest route to a title shot. At 38, a statement win at UFC London matters for maintaining momentum toward top-10 opponents and keeping his name in championship conversations.
From a betting perspective, the market consensus is that Page should win; the moneyline reflects that view, but the KO/TKO prop provides a higher-risk, higher-return option tied to his striking style and Patterson’s defensive tendencies. The risk on that angle is that some analysts project a measured, three-round striking display where Page stays safe, picks Patterson apart, and wins on the cards, leaving knockout bettors exposed if Patterson survives the distance.
