Can King Green Bounce Back with a Win at UFC 319? Oddsmakers Say No
The upcoming UFC matchup between King Green and Carlos Diego Ferreira is set to take place on August 16, 2025, as part of UFC 319 at the United Center in Chicago. This lightweight bout is featured on the prelims card of the event.
King Green vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira Odds
The betting odds for the UFC 319 lightweight matchup between King Green and Carlos Diego Ferreira currently favor Ferreira as the favorite. Ferreira’s moneyline and casino odds generally range around -170 to -200 depending on the sportsbook, indicating an implied win probability of about 60-63%. King Green is the underdog with odds around +135 to +170, suggesting roughly a 37-40% chance to win.
Betting lines have shown moderate movement over recent weeks leading up to the fight. Ferreira opened as a stronger favorite at about -190 but experienced some fluctuation, softening to around -170 before bouncing back near -180 closer to fight week. King Green’s odds started around +165, then slightly improved to around +140 to +155 at times before settling close to current levels. Ferreira is viewed as the safer bet by oddsmakers, with a narrower but still respectable underdog value in King Green.
The stakes for this fight are significant for both fighters as they look to improve their standing in the competitive lightweight division. Green seeks to rebound and secure a strong position after two losses, with three losses in his past four bouts. His most recent bout saw him lose via knockout to a spinning back heel kick from Maurício Ruffy.
Green’s fighting style is unique and vivid, often described as “hood” style. He is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt but often fights with a low guard, employing counterpunching tactics.
Ferreira aims to demonstrate his evolution as a complete mixed martial artist. The Brazilian-born fighter is looking to bounce back after his loss to Grant Dawson earlier in 2025. He started his martial arts journey with capoeira before focusing on Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu from the age of 10. Ferreira moved to the United States to pursue a career in MMA. He is well-rounded, with strong striking and grappling skills, known for his strategic cage control, good striking volume, and solid defensive improvements.
Carlos Diego Ferreira holds impressive wins in the UFC over fighters such as Michael Johnson, Anthony Pettis, and Jared Gordon, among others.
King Green vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira at UFC 319 on August 16, 2025, is a key lightweight bout with both fighters bringing exciting fighting styles. The event is set in Chicago’s United Center and features a stacked UFC card headlined by Dricus du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev.
