Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev: – Fight Card, Betting Odds, Start Time

All the fights for Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev in Las Vegas on Saturday 1st March 2025. With betting odds, start time, date, fight card, and information on how to watch.
- Event: Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev
- Date: Sat, Mar 1, 2025
- Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ESPN+ Main Event 7 p.m. ET
- Broadcast in the UK: TNT Sports 12 a.m. GMT Prelims 9 p.m.

Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Full Fight Card
Main Card
- Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev: Flyweight Main Event
- Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez: Middleweight
- Nasrat Haqparast vs. Esteban Ribovics: Lightweight
- Austen Lane vs. Mario Pinto: Heavyweight
- Hyder Amil vs. William Gomis: Featherweight
- Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson: Welterweight
- TBA vs. Allan Nascimento:
Prelims
- Ricardo Ramos vs. Chepe Mariscal: Featherweight
- Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. John Castaneda: Bantamweight
- Andrea Lee vs. JJ Aldrich: Women’s Flyweight
- Danny Silva vs. Lucas Almeida: Featherweight
- Montana De La Rosa vs. Luana Carolina: Women’s Flyweight
- Charles Johnson vs. Ramazan Temirov: Flyweight
*Fight card, bout order, and number of fights are subject to change
Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Tale of the Tape
Name: | Manel Kape | Asu Almabayev |
Country: | United States/Angola | Kazakhstan |
Age: | 31 | 31 |
Height: | 5 ft 6 in (1.68 m) | 5 ft 4 in (1.63 m) |
Weight: | 125 lb (57 kg; 8 st 13 lb) | 125 lb (57 kg; 8 st 13 lb) |
Reach: | 68 in (173 cm) | 65 in (165 cm) |
Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Betting Odds
The upcoming UFC Fight Night main event between Manel Kape and Asu Almabayev on March 1, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas is a pivotal flyweight clash with significant implications for the division. Both fighters bring contrasting styles and high stakes to the octagon.
According to Betway, Kape is listed at 1.44 (-230) favorite while Almabayev, the underdog, is listed at 2.75 (+180), with a 36.4% implied probability of victory. These odds suggest that bookmakers favor Kape’s striking and experience over Almabayev’s grappling. Over time, betting lines have slightly shifted in favor of Kape as analysts highlight his advantages in reach, power, and cardio, especially in a five-round contest.
In terms of the method of victory, predictions lean toward Kape winning via decision due to his superior striking and decent takedown defense. Kape’s ability to keep the fight standing and score points with his striking is seen as a key factor. However, Almabayev’s path to victory likely involves securing early takedowns and utilizing his submission skills before sweat and fatigue make grappling more difficult. The fight’s outcome could hinge on whether Almabayev can impose his grappling early or if Kape can maintain distance and punish him with strikes.
This UFC matchup represents a classic striker-versus-grappler contest. Kape will aim to keep the fight standing, leveraging his striking to overwhelm Almabayev. On the other hand, Almabayev will look to neutralize Kape’s power by taking the fight to the ground, where he can exploit his grappling advantage.
Asu Almabayev enters the fight on a remarkable 17-fight winning streak with an overall record of 21-2. The Kazakhstani fighter is a grappling specialist with nine submission victories, showcasing his wrestling and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu power. Almabayev’s technical skills on the ground make him a formidable opponent for strikers like Kape. Despite being slightly smaller at 5’4” with a 65-inch reach compared to Kape’s 5’6” height and 68-inch reach, Almabayev’s relentless takedown attempts and ability to control opponents on the mat are key assets.
A former Rizin Bantamweight Champion, Kape has experienced ups and downs in his UFC career but remains a dangerous contender with his aggressive stand-up game and solid takedown defense. His southpaw stance, fast hands, and powerful kicks make him a threat to any opponent standing across from him.
The stakes are high for both fighters, Kape seeks to solidify his position as a top contender in pursuit of a title shot, while Almabayev aims to prove he belongs among the division’s elite despite stepping in as a short-notice replacement for Brandon Royval.
Start date and time
Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev takes place on Saturday 1st March 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The fight card will start at 7 p.m. ET. In the UK, the main card starts at 12 a.m. GMT.
Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Fight Promo
Tickets
If you are lucky enough to be near Las Vegas or plan to attend Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev at the UFC Apex, VIP tickets are available here.
PPV Price and Live Streams
Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev is live on ESPN+. In the UK you will be able to watch on TNT Sports.
What is Next after Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev?
The next major UFC event after Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev is UFC 313 Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev on the 8th of March 2025 at the T Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.