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MMAoracleAdded a new comment
"no, what i mean is that he has a 10% chance of beating cain given his last fight. If cain wins as convincingly once again, I think the chance is even lower. Also, you have to reset the odds post-fight. What you describe is a scenario where cain wins two times in a row pre-fight, which would give us a probability of cain winning of 0.9^2=0.81. Basic statistics ;)"
on the following blog post:Cain Velasquez opens as huge favorite over Bigfoot Silva; should he be facing JDS?
2 months agoMMAoracleAdded a new comment
"I totally agree, although I'm not sure he'll finish him off in the first. Furthermore, I think an odds of 4.3 to 1 seems like pretty good bet if you put your money on velasquez. It means they think bigfoot has an 18% chance of winning. I think it's more like 10% chance. I'm pretty sure velasquez would win a a fight with bigfoot 9/10 times."
on the following blog post:Cain Velasquez opens as huge favorite over Bigfoot Silva; should he be facing JDS?
2 months ago More...
"no, what i mean is that he has a 10% chance of beating cain given his last fight. If cain wins as convincingly once again, I think the chance is even lower. Also, you have to reset the odds post-fight. What you describe is a scenario where cain wins two times in a row pre-fight, which would give us a probability of cain winning of 0.9^2=0.81. Basic statistics ;)"
on the following blog post:Cain Velasquez opens as huge favorite over Bigfoot Silva; should he be facing JDS?
2 months agoMMAoracleAdded a new comment
"I totally agree, although I'm not sure he'll finish him off in the first. Furthermore, I think an odds of 4.3 to 1 seems like pretty good bet if you put your money on velasquez. It means they think bigfoot has an 18% chance of winning. I think it's more like 10% chance. I'm pretty sure velasquez would win a a fight with bigfoot 9/10 times."
on the following blog post:Cain Velasquez opens as huge favorite over Bigfoot Silva; should he be facing JDS?
2 months ago More...
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- Anton Gurevich : "I cleaned up some of the stuff on your wall"
- Anton Gurevich : "Thanks for rising my attention. Kimura Choke, that was a little bit crazy to write that.... :)"
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- Rory Kernaghan : "Dude lay off the Anton bashing, he uploads plenty to this site"
