UFC 161 Lowkick Staff Predictions

UFC 161 Lowkick Staff Predictions


Mike Drahota: This fight has a ton on the line for both Henderson and Evans. Each fighter will need a win if they want any to sniff a title shot ever again. There are questions mark about Hendo after his lackluster showing against Lyoto Machida, and there are perhaps even more questions about Evans after his even worse performance against Rogerio Nogueira.

Evans has been talking like his fire has been restored, but that’s a cliché phrase, and tough to believe until it’s actually proven. I think he does possess the wrestling to control the former Olympian Henderson throughout, but he strangely sometimes goes away from it. Henderson does the same with his, preferring to obviously let his thunderous right hand do his work these days. I’m just not sure he’s back to 100% after his knee injury canceled UFC 151. He is 42 years old, after all. That said, I’ll go with Rashad Evans by unanimous decision.

Rory Kernaghan: Rashad Evans vs. Dan Henderson is another interesting matchup. Both guys like to stand and bang, and both guys have awesome wrestling. As is usually the case with two wrestlers, I expect this fight to take place mainly on the feet. Hendo has an atomic right hand, but Evans is very well rounded in the striking department. he has a powerful head kick and his boxing can be pretty tough to handle when he is on form. The key here is whether we see a motivated Suga. Word from his camp is that Rashad is training like a monster for this one. Hendo’s chin is solid , but he can be rocked ergo he can be finished. I expect Evans to outwork Hendo and score a late TKO over a tired Henderson. Evans def. Hendo by TKO round 3

Brian Cox: Henderson / Evans is a tough call. I believe both men possess the tools to beat the other man.  Of the two, Rashad has the larger tool belt. If Henderson wins, it will be because he catches Rashad on the fence and does it with a right. I think that’s the only way he wins. I see no points’ decision victory for Hendo. Suga on the other hand has three different ways to win, a points’ decision (by staying away from Dan), a Chuck Liddell (KO punch) moment or another Sean Salmon (KO head kick) moment. Of those three I think he’s more apt to land that head kick. He likes to use it in close and he’s good at throwing it. He used it a couple of times in his last fight against Little Nog and nearly caught him, too. That said, my gut feeling is that Hendo will rule the day and catch Rashad and he’ll do it in the 2nd round and with that big right, a la Michael Bisping.

A huge fan of the sport since 1995, I love writing all aspects of the fight game. As Chief Editor of LowKick MMA, I strive to stay on the cutting edge of all things MMA related.
  • http://lowkickmma.com/author/nimbleweed nimbleweed

    Hendo can undoubtedly KO anyone with a clean shot but he seems to broadcast it more and more each fight…

    Rashad has lost by KO once to Machida who is perhaps the most inventive and efficient distance closer in MMA…

    After learning from that loss aswell as avoiding KO strikes from Liddell, T Silva, Rampage, Jones and Lil Nog I just don't see Rashad circling into an 'H-Bomb' alla my countryman Mr Bisping.

    I would agree Rashad likes to use his striking but would have to disagree that he likes to stand and bang… I cant recall a fight where he threw caution to the wind and exchanged blows like Hendo vs Shogun or Griffin vs Bonnar…

    Rashad via Decision IMO

    • http://lowkickmma.com/author/dana&patrick;%20star%20are%201%20person dana&patrick; star are 1 person

      hendo via ko, jordan via tko. nelson via ko(hopefully)

    • http://lowkickmma.com/author/IChokePeople IChokePeople

      While you are correct that Rashad has only been KOd once, it is also true that he has been rocked in a lot of fights. If Hendo rocks him he will likely finish him.

  • http://lowkickmma.com/author/cranestyle cranestyle

    My feeling is that Rashad is a more versatile, well-rounded fighter and he should win…

    …but that was the case with Little Nog as well. Evans doesn't seem to have the same fire that he used to. My guess is, he's gotten comfortable, maybe because he has his own gym.

    So even though Dan is the older fighter, I think he's also the hungrier fighter. The H-Bomb sends Suga where he really wants to go…into retirement.

    • http://lowkickmma.com/author/falcon4917 falcon4917

      I agree with nimbleweed on this one but man you make it a very uncertain scenario when you put it like that. I guess it depends which Suga shows up?

    • http://lowkickmma.com/author/DaddyLongStrokes DaddyLongStrokes

      Rashad looked so shredded at the weigh ins. Rashad looks to have that fire. More confident in Rashad winning this fight after seeing him at the weigh ins.

      • http://lowkickmma.com/author/akieyugames akieyugames

        He always looks confident and hungry, always says he's confident and hungry, problem is…sometimes comes fight time he just freezes in the ring, just seems tentative.

        • http://lowkickmma.com/author/thexperience1 thexperience1

          he didnt look confident to me in his last fight… he looked worried.. I think he knew he didnt have the best camp. Today he looked like a different person. He had that "I want my belt back look"… and not the "I'm gonna try to intimidate you to give me my belt back" look from Rampage. It was that "I'm gonna beat the sh*t out of you and TAKE my belt" look. I think he'll come at Hendo hard and it might be the best we've ever seen Rashad. He looked STRONG i'm expecting him to put Hendo on his back and pound him like there's no tomorrow. I highly doubt he'll TKO Hendo… Hendo has never been Knocked Out and i highly doubt Rashad will be the first to do it but he'll probably out work Hendo and make another run for that belt…

  • http://lowkickmma.com/author/TheRealDeal TheRealDeal

    Hendo by UD and Evans retires immediately following the fight…. you heard it right here first gentlemen……place your bets.

    • http://lowkickmma.com/author/IChokePeople IChokePeople

      That's a bold call. I also think Hendo wins this but I think it will result from the combination of Hendo's devastating right hand and Rashad's fairly soft chin. The idea of Hendo actually out-working Rashad seems unlikely.

      • http://lowkickmma.com/author/Rory%20Kernaghan Rory Kernaghan

        What makes u think Rashad has a soft chin?

        • http://lowkickmma.com/author/akieyugames akieyugames

          I thought he was only KO'ed once?

          • http://lowkickmma.com/author/IChokePeople IChokePeople

            He has only been KOd once but he gets rocked in every other fight. The only reasons that he doesn't have more KO losses are that he recovers quickly and manages to avoid further punishment long enough to do so. If Hendo lands clean Rashad might not get that opportunity.

    • http://lowkickmma.com/author/cranestyle cranestyle

      Uh, actually you heard it here second, by about two hours. Look up above your post… 😉

  • http://lowkickmma.com/author/Rezo Rezo

    Sorry guys must say it here. Anthony Pettis is out of UFC 163!!! :(

  • http://lowkickmma.com/author/chaos chaos

    Hendo by unanimous decision.