Maynard vs. Guida, Franklin vs. Silva LowKick.com Staff Predictions
Posted on June 22, 2012, 08:50 AM by Anton GurevichGray Maynard vs. Clay Guida
UFC on FX 4 Main Event,
Anton Gurevich: Clay Guida and Gray Maynard are two of the moth hard-working fighters in the UFC Lightweight division. Both are scrappers, with Clay Guida clearly having a better cardio than "The Bully". However, when it comes to wrestling and punching power, former two-time UFC Lightweight title challenger could have an advantage. It's a very tough fight to predict, but as a fan, I will go with Clay Guida via Decision.
Mike Drahota: Clay Guida versus Gray Maynard presents an interesting bout in my eyes, an opportunity for both respected fighters to prove their worth in the warzone that currently comprises the UFC Lightweight division. Obviously Maynard is hoping for a convincing win and then a chance to face Benson Henderson should he win at UFC 150, as he and Frankie Edgar will not fight again. However, Guida has proven very tough to finish, and always plays the role of underdog quite well. With that said, Gray Maynard has been written off a bit and is still a force, especially after revamping his training with a move to California. A great fight should ensue, and I see Gray Maynard edging out a grinding unanimous decision in this one.
Daniel Cassidy: While I respect Guida immensely, I just cannot see how he can overcome the stronger and better wrestler in Gray Maynard. Despite losing recently to Frankie Edgar, Maynard is still one of the top 3 Lightweights in the world, and should be able to implement his game plan enough to get the decision. I think over five rounds, Maynard uses his superior wrestling to nullify the speed advantage of Guida. My prediction is Gray Maynard via unanimous decision.
Mike Searson: I love Clay Guida, he reminds me of about 4 different friends I have known over the years and he is like the Energizer Bunny. He keeps going and never quits. I am not discounting Maynard, he is a superior wrestler, but I just do not see him submitting Guida. Guida has been training hard at Jackson's and beyond his MMA skills and cardio, he has to be picking up strategy from Greg, who is nothing short of a master tactician. That said, a sub by Guida is equally doubtful. I see this one going the distance and a decision for Guida.
Evan Holober: Gray Maynard is the better fighter than Clay Guida. His striking is better, his wrestling is better, he's stronger, and probably a bit faster. The only category in which Guida is better than Gray is cardio. The problem for him is I just don't see that being enough to combat what "the bully" brings to the table. Gray came so close to winning the title twice, and in this writer's opinion actually did win it the first fight with Edgar. You can guarantee he will be pissed off, and ready to erase that KO loss to Frankie from his recent memory. I see Guida falling even further down the contender ladder here. Maynard TKO 2.
Rich Franklin vs. Wanderlei Silva
UFC 147 Main Event, Belo Horizonte, BrazilAnton Gurevich: I think Rich Franklin is a bad match-up for Wanderlei Silva. Franklin is a smart fighter, so I expect him to stay away from intense exchanges with Wanderlei Silva, and fight as a counter-puncher. Franklin's long layoff could be a factor, but then again, he's simply a bad fight for "The Axe Murderer". It's going to be a great fight, with both fighters having a chance to win, but my prediction is Rich Franklin via Decision.
Mike Drahota: The main event of UFC 147, while perhaps a far cry from the hoped-for bout of Silva vs. Sonnen in Brazil, should provide some fireworks for the fight-hungry Brazilian fans. Rich Franklin comes in off of a long layoff, so it will be interesting to see how his skills are holding up. Wanderlei Silva has proved his worth in many a battle himself, and will be hellbent on performing for his hometown fans. Both fighters obviously love to stand and trade. This bout could come down to who lands the luckiest punch, as both combatants' chins may be deteriorating. These aspects make the fight a tough one to predict. I think that Ace may have just a bit more gas left in the tank, and even with a short notice will come out strong. It's close, but I say Rich Franklin wins this one via KO in the 1st Round.
Daniel Cassidy: Although a fill in fight, I can't help but feel this isn't a strong enough headline fight. Regardless, I can't see this fight being much different from the last. As big a silva fan as I am, his chin isn't improving, and I see Rich tagging Wanderlei before claiming a finish. My prediction is Rich Franklin via R2 TKO.
Mike Searson: I see this going to Franklin, particularly if he keeps Silva out of range and works him from a distance. Franklin fights smart and knows that he can wear him down as long as he keeps far enough away to avoid the clinch. I am not underestimating Silva as the man is a powerhouse, but I see this one going to the judges. Franklin by Unanimous Decision is how I see it playing out.
Evan Holober: Wanderlei Silva - Rich Franklin 1 was a pretty decent scrap. Wanderlei cracked Rich a few times, and even looked to be on the verge of stopping him at one point in the third. Franklin just scored a little bit more, and put the pressure on as the fight came to a close. It was a contentious decision for some. However, I didn't really have a problem with it. I see it being a worse night for Wanderlei here as Rich has one more title run left in him, and he'll want to make a statement against Wanderlei. Franklin TKO 1.
Comments
Anton pick your game up; " Clay Guida and Edgar Maynard are two of the moth hard-working fighters in the UFC Lightweight division"
I like Guida via decision and for some reason : ) Wand TKO rd1.
Great assessment by searson and hoboler on the maynard - guida fight; a well trained and always durable guida versus a better and more motivated fighter in maynard.
I'm going to get a lot of flak for this, but IMHO I think Maynard can still beat Edgar - the tie and Win by Edgar, we're, should I say a fluke.
I got Maynard winning this one - I think he may even be the first fighter to finish Guida. Power and pure strength will be the key for Maynard. After all Maynard is one of the more entertaining wrestling-based fighters (see. Jon Fitch).
Surprised to see most of the predictions going franklins way.
Given that Wandy barely made it through the Cung Le fight, and the fact that he is no longer in his prime - still, consider the following:
The fight is in Brazil, Rich just got out of a long lay-off and an injury, and a well trained Wanderlai (well at least that's what they show on tv).
My take on this, both of the fighters will be carefully taking their shots, with sudden burst of punches from Wandy in the 2nd and 3rd round, but barely making any damages.
The result, would be a squeezed-out split decision victory for Wandy.
Btw, on the Werdum - Russow bout.
While I do predict a Werdum submission somewhere around the 2nd round - I'm still hoping to see a surprise TKO/KO victory by Russow, you know we always have a soft spot for the chubby guys.
While I appreciate the shout out I just want to point out that if Gray finishes him it won't be a first. Clay has been subbed at least 3 times, usually after getting rocked first.
Rich and Wand are basically equal in skills but it's Wand's complete lack of chin that makes the difference.
lol.
rich is way more technical than silva.
what fights have you been watching.
Now that's funny! Rich was a former champion, His skills are far above wandy.. i mean to be real wandy can't even through a punch correctly...look for rich to tko him in the first or second round
You do know Wandy is also a former champion right Gnasty?
I dunno about equal in terms of skills, but I will say that they both do certain things really well.
-Maynard starts his comeback by overwhelming Guida- UD
-Franklin once again bests Wandy in another close one- UD
-Russow shocks the world- TKO over Werdum- R2
-Stout wins rubber match with Fisher in convincing fashion- UD
If maynard does not finish guida he will lose for sure...i mean your just not going to out work guida.. russow will be a cupcake fight for werdum. and yes stout wins this match.
Not a fan of Gray or Clay... Hope they K.O each other out... But yet I still see Guida winning the fight...
Franklin will K.O The Axe soon.... The fight I'm interested more in watching is Werdum vs Russow... Having a hard time picking that one.. My brain says Werdum, yet my heart says Russow...
We all saw what happened to Todd Duffy. He was putting on a clinic until Russow caught him. I really hope that doesn't happen again. I hate it when a clearly inferior fighter wins that way. That said, it could totally happen again.
I don't get the unanimity for Franklin to win. The first fight was very close. I actually thought Wandy edged it out.