Does Carlos Condit deserve to be a large underdog against GSP?

Posted on November 7, 2012, 01:49 PM by Mike Drahota
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Much of the focus and speculation of the MMA world remains centered on the November 17th return of Welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre from a devastating knee injury. Set to face interim champ Carlos Condit in his hometown of Montreal, the fight is one of the most anticipated bouts of 2012. Adding to the intrigue are the many variables involved here, as GSP comes in off an almost 19-month layoff after a lengthy rehabilitation. Condit has fought only once this year, taking the famous decision from Nick Diaz. St-Pierre is quite a large favorite at around 3-to-1. Will the odds prove true in this pivotal 170 lb. bout? Carlos Condit believes that GSP is not as hungry to win as he used to be. The Natural Born Killer believes he is more motivated here, telling the Las Vegas Sun:

“I’m hungrier. I’m the one that’s been chomping at the bit to get this thing on. I haven’t fought competitively since February. I’ve just been training an sparring and preparing for this opportunity.  I’m just ready to go, man. A lot of stuff has happened between last October and now. To finally get a chance to fight Georges, I feel great.”

Still, GSP has stated that his love for MMA has returned, with his motivation at an all-time high since his rematch with Matt Serra to reclaim his belt. It is no secret that St-Pierre will use his superior wrestling to attempt takedowns, of which Condit has defended 44% of throughout his career. GSP's knee is an obvious factor here, as his ability to drive through the takedowns will be tested from the onset. Condit has proved to be a vicious finisher with both strikes and submissions, so I think it's a bit unfair to label him such a large underdog in a fight so unpredictable.

Ring rust will have to play some sort of factor here for GSP. Even though all the media coverage has shown him to be in excellent shape, his last fight was in April of 2011 against Jake Shields. I can't say that I see GSP finishing Condit like he has been discussing much recently, but in a way, GSP actually has more motivation than Condit does. If GSP loses, especially badly, then his stock may fall rapidly in an ultra-stacked division. A rematch for Condit with the last man to defeat him, Martin Kampmann, could be on the horizon. People will be quick to say, “I told you so, he's overrated,” and similar comments. I simply believe that Georges St-Pierre is too talented and focused an athlete to let this happen at this point in his career. With his legacy on the line, I expect GSP to grind out another workmanlike win, gaining more supporters and more detractors at the same time. What are your thoughts on the odds and the outcome of this huge fight?


Comments

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  • grapplure
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    gsp will probably let condit win to avoid silva

    Reply 6 months ago
  • HATEOCRACY
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    First off i want to congratulate Our President OBAMA Ya Dig!



    Second of all Condit has crazy skills,so say what you wanna to about the Diaz fight but Pimp Juice got his ass kicked & i hope he do the same to Mr. Fight Every Finucking Leap Year Pierrre.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • mindkontrolle
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    FVCK OBAMA YOU SON OF A COCK

    Reply 6 months ago
  • mindkontrolle
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    your'e a fvcking fag man, with your race driven sh*t. HE'S BLACK!!!! HE'S BLACK!!! WOW!!!!!!!!!OH WOW!!!!!!!!! STFU b*tch.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • mmauk
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    @ajichiban

    The article raises a valid question, the key to GSP's striking and take downs is timing. A knee injury as serious as his was combined with ring rust narrows the gap considerably and of course Condit is very well rounded and capable of stopping people. I actually expect to see a similar performance we saw against Diaz., Condit via decision for me.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • johndo11
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    Yes. He deserves it. He's good but not GSP good in reality.



    Abd i dont even like GSP that much. BOOOOORING!

    Reply 6 months ago
  • HATEOCRACY
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    Going off the subject...Ben Hendo is 100% right what he said about Chael, he is white & average but the reason he's so marketable is because he's calling out brotha's that the average fighter is scared of. In my opinion even though he came up short 2x against A.S. & Bones is going to put enough tips on him that he will think he's a waitress, he's very very entertaining & he aint no punk....but Bones will hurt him.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • KeithFarrell
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    Dude if you're going completely off subjet, go off the article and on to the subject area

    Reply 6 months ago
  • HATEOCRACY
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    Hey folks im floating off two norco's right now cause i got two more wisdom teeth pulled 2 hours ago....ajichiban check home slice for me

    Reply 6 months ago
  • mindkontrolle
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    and you're an average black guy, what gives, son?? what gives?

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Evan Holober
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    The point you made about him being entertaining is why he's marketable. He's currently the best person at selling a fight in MMA.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Brasil
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    No one beats a prime GSP at WW....now having said that we all dont know how the lay off and injury recover will play out...anyway the answear to the question is: yes.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • azzkika
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    Serra beat a prime GSP. Any fighter is beatable. It doesn't matter how good you are they are all human and all capable of mistakes or their opponents capable of a flash of brilliance that can end a fight.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • UnderdogGreatness
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    Bruce Buffer: Introducing first: fighting out of the blue corner, this man is a Submission fighter, a future legend killer. He holds the professional record of 28 wins, 5 loses. He stands 6-feet-2-inch tall, weighing in at 170 pounds Fighting out of Albuquerque, New Mexico,



    Carlos "The Natural Born Killer" Condit



    And now, fighting out of the red corner, this man is boring wrestler/Lay-and-Pray artist, a 5 round grinder. He holds the professional record of 22 wins, 2 loses. He stands 5-feet-11-inch tall, weighing in at 170 pounds Fighting out of Montreal, Quebec Canada. He is the reigning, and defending UFC WW Champion.



    Georges Safe-Pierre



    Here is your winner, and the NEW UFC welterweight champion of the world Carlos "The Natural Born Killer" Condit.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Michael Stephensen
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    I'm a Bigger GSP fan than I am a NBK fan but even so I gave you a "funny" because you worked so hard on that one.



    The answer to the title question is: No. GSP wins this match up six times out of ten, not 10/10.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • azzkika
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    I suppose you'd prefer to watch Tank unsafe Abbott. ****ing haters.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Kris-tyahn
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    So when GSP fought Koscheck he laid on top of him for 5 rounds & when he fought Shields, what about when he fought BJ Penn the 2nd time? WOW man, you really do know what you're talking about, you should really host your own MMA show on FX & UFC. Condit barely beat Diaz & got lucky vs. MacDonal who was 19 or 20 & fighting in his 2nd UFC fight & Condit got owned for the first 2 rounds, then the ref gave him the fight with 7 secs left. Yeah that guy sure is going to beat GSP!!! wink wink

    Reply 6 months ago
  • cranestyle
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    6 out of 10 if the knee is wobbly. 8 out of 10 if the knee is 100%.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • MMA Truth
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    I think if Carlos can keep it on the feet he has a chance. If GSP can get him down, he has no chance.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Plexomatic
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    Yes Condit deserves to be there. Why is everyone talking about GSP and ring rust, Carlos hasnt fought since feb. I think ring rust has one degree and they both will have it.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Kris-tyahn
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    Exactly, I think Condit made a big mistake not fighting until now! Not fighting for 9 months isnt all that much diff than fighting in 18 months, when you go so long without fighting, it doesn't really matter how long it's been b/c 9 months & being healthy is a very very long time to not fight.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • azzkika
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    Having watched the cideo about both these fighters and their training camps, I am certain ring rust shouldn't be a problem.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • ny2ut2id2nv
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    He deserves to be large underdog. Until Gsp losses again he's widely considered top three and that gives him the odds. Should be an interesting fight. I Hope Gsp has developed ko power since his layoff he needs an emphatic finish to make me believe he wont get stomped easily by Silva

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Switchkick
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    Can someone answer my question? If the match ends up being a draw which champion gets the belt? Im guessing gsp does since condit is the interm champ.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • cranestyle
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    Not quoting a rule but since normally the champ keeps the belt in a draw, I would guess that both fighters would keep their belts and a rematch would be scheduled.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • Kris-tyahn
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    LMAO good question, but I believe GSP would get it & they'd have a rematch, no doubt!

    Reply 6 months ago
  • MMA Truth
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    No.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • cranestyle
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    Condit does not deserve to be that much of an underdog, especially factoring in GSP's injury issues.



    But even at 3.5 to 1, I wouldn't bet against GSP.

    Reply 6 months ago
  • dray12
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    Condit is going to get mauld man. GSP is bigger, stronger, faister, more athletic, better cardio... Condit is a more versatile and fluid striker, GSP has a reach advantage I believe..I;ve seen Condit taken down and controled by way lesser oppenents, and GSP nullify strikers that are just as good as carlos

    Reply 6 months ago