UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit LowKick.com Staff PredictionsPosted on February 3, 2012, 08:39 AM by Anton Gurevich
Interim UFC Welterweight title Title: Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit
Staff Picks: Nick Diaz - 4, Condit - 3
Community Top Pick: Diaz via KO/TKO in Round 4
Anton Gurevich: Nick Diaz is a phenomenal fighter, but unfortunately for the Cesar Gracie fighter, Carlos Condit is going to cut his streak. Condit is a tough-as-nails fighter, with exceptional striking skills and a solid ground game. I honestly think that the Natural Born Killer’s striking is superior to the one of Nick Diaz, he is way more sharper and stronger on his feet. Plus, Condit is more diverse as a fighter. Diaz has his style, but Carlos Condit is totally unpredictable and can finish his opponent from every given position. Diaz has a reasonable advantage on the ground, but I don’t think he will be able to showcase his incredible BJJ skills in this match-up. In the end, it’s all mental in this match-up for Carlos Condit. If he stays focused against Diaz, and doesn’t let the psychological warfare to sabotage his gameplan, we will have an Interim UFC Welterweight Champ from Albuquerque, New Mexico. My prediction is Condit via TKO in Round 2.
Joey Santosus: Carlos Condit feels that he's been all but written off on Saturday night, and I'd have to agree with him. But, I don't think it's so much that anyone questions the abilities of "The Natural Born Killer," but rather it's their desire to see GSP's reaction when Nick Diaz sticks his chin out and throws his hands in the air. After all, it's been quite some time since someone has managed to even make the Canadian appear uncomfortable inside the octagon. However, it should be noted that overlooking a fighter with 26 finishes in 27 victories is - well, absurd. With that said, I'll take Diaz to win a decision based on sheer volume, but with no degree of certainty. Nick Diaz via Decision.
Bryan Fontez: This is quite possibly the most difficult pick I've had to make since I can remember. There are soo many variables of which each fighter can win with. Diaz has pressure, solid boxing, aggressive Jiu-Jitsu and more cardio than the energizer bunny. But Condit is extremely well-rounded and has the power, killer instinct and dynamic striking skills to put you in a coma. I wanna say Condit wins it, I really do. But my prediction will have to be made the same way Diaz fights... As if I have a gun to my head. Nick Diaz via Unanimous Decision
Mike Drahota: This fight brings quite the potential for fireworks here. In many ways, this is what the fans are looking for in terms of two talented fighters who bring it every time out. With much at stake here, I see both Diaz and Condit having a great striking acumen, with a slight edge to going to Diaz. While both are well-versed in submission skills as well, Diaz again gets the nod due to experience. But this is a fight after all, and anything can happen. I think both combatants are at the top of their respective games right now, and I think that Carlos Condit is the hungrier of the two at this point in time. I expect to see an all-out war. Most are picking Diaz from what I’ve seen, but I’ve always thought it was only a matter of time for Carlos Condit. I like Condit to shock the world and score a second round (T)KO over Diaz.
Trent Reinsmith: The odds on this one started out as pretty much dead even, but over time the betting line has begun to favor Diaz and I can’t say that I disagree. There is no denying that Condit deserves a shot at the interim title in this fight, he can bring it just as well as Diaz can, but the difference is in the technique. With Diaz landing well over 100 strikes per fight (178 out of 350 thrown against BJ Penn), any fighter will have a rough time dealing with that volume of strikes. When you throw in the fact that Diaz has a gas tank that could probably go 10 rounds, well, I just feel he’ll be too much and will eventually weaken the resolve of Condit. Nick Diaz by fourth round submission
Evan Holober: I've spent the past two weeks trying to come up with a winner of this fight. Most of the picks around the web (and the money) have gone for Diaz, but I just can't decide. The name Greg Jackson always equals a smart game plan, and a smart plan of action against Nick Diaz is half the fight won (for a top tier welterweight). I see Condit using kicks all fight to wear down Diaz's vaunted boxing, and Diaz trying ineffectively to take the fight to the ground. I hope I'm wrong. No disrespect to Carlos, but Nick is someone I'll root for against anybody in the world not named BJ Penn or Robbie Lawler. CONDIT BY UD.
Daniel Cassidy: This is possibly the toughest fight I've had the pleasure to call for Lowkick. Coming of a steak of highlight reel finishes, both fighters enter the cage quite evenly matched. Diaz is a warrior who hasnt been stopped since KJ Noons drew blood in their first clash. Diaz would go on to prove a point in the rematch, outboxing the boxer. I think his stand up proves near impossible for any fighter deal with, and this will make the difference. I think Diaz endless gas tank will aid him in seeking a late Round 4 TKO victory.