TUF 14 Finale: Bisping vs. Miller LowKick.com Staff PredictionsPosted on December 3, 2011, 06:33 AM by Anton Gurevich
Jason Miller vs. Michael Bisping
Top Prediction: Miller via Submission in Round 3
Trent Reinsmith: The odds in this fight are in Michael Bisping’s favor, but it seems that the majority of fans would much rather see Jason Miller take the victory home. Miller does have a chance in this fight, but that chance is mostly on the ground, a fact that is surely not lost on Bisping. Look for Bisping to do what he does best keep the fight standing and look to gain points on his way to a unanimous decision victory. Michael Bisping by decision.
Anton Gurevich: I consider Jason Miller to be a more well-rounded fighter than Michael Bisping. Mayhem has an excellent ground game and good striking that could give him the edge against the relatively one-dimensional Bisping. More than anything, "The Count" has an incredible thin skin that always puts him off balance. You can't let anyone to get under your skin so easily in top tier MMA competition. The only thing that works against Miller is the fact that he didn't fight over a year, and will definitely have the "ring rust syndrome" during the first minutes of the bout. One way or another, I predict a decisive victory for Miller, Round 3 via Submission.
Joey Santosus: With top Middleweight contender Chael Sonnen recently alluding to a possible showdown with the winner of this one, the man with his hand raised on Saturday night could find themselves within spitting distance of a title shot (no pun intended). At their best, Bisping vs. Miller is a tough fight to call. However, while the Brit comes into the bout riding a three-fight winning streak, including a victory over Jorge Rivera back in February, "Mayhem" has competed just twice in the past two years. Returning to action for the first time since September of 2010, questions loom regarding Miller's current form, and because Bisping has been stopped just once in his 25-fight professional career, I'll take "The Count" to Bully the Beatdown host en-route to a decision victory. Michael Bisping via Decision.
Ryan Ventura: It’s been over a year since fans last saw Jason Miller fight the 2010 version of the Japanese legend Kazushi Sakuraba. I’m not sure if ring rust will be a factor against Michael Bisping, but what I do know for sure is that “The Count” as much as people dislike him is good when it counts and he has only lost to the best of the best. I don’t think Jason Miller has the power of Dan Henderson or the wrestling skills of Rashad Evans, but I think he’ll out grapple Bisping for the whole fight and will ride out a decision victory.
Deigo Brandao vs. Dennis Bermudez
Top Prediction: Brandao via TKO in Round 1
Trent Reinsmith: Diego Brandao has established himself as an exciting fighter during this season of “TUF”, finishing all his fights within the first round. His opponent Dennis Bermudez will look to use his wrestling background to negate the striking power of Brandao, something I do not think will work out for him. Brandao is hungry and relentless, a UFC fan favorite waiting to happen, look for him to take home the featherweight UFC contract on Saturday. Diego Brandao by first round TKO.
Anton Gurevich: It's hard to predict how Bermudez and Brandao improved since the taping of the Ultimate Fighter. Judging by the show, I would pick Bermudez to win this contest, simply because he seems to me like a more balanced fighter, who's able to control his cool inside the cage or ring. Brandao is 13-7 in his MMA campaign, and I'm absolutely sure that the majority of those losses root down to the fact that Brandao is too offensive every time he fights. Bermudez via Submission.
Joey Santosus: For the first time ever, the UFC allowed viewers to vote on their favorite knockout of the season, and three of the five available to be voted on, were Diego Brandao's trio of victories. I admit, when I initially saw Brandao burst onto the scene with guns blazing this season, I thought surely his aggression would be his downfall by the show's end. And while I still believe this to be true as the Brazilian moves on to face more skilled opponents in the UFC, I'm not convinced Dennis Bermudez is the fighter to exploit it. Diego Brandao via 1st Rnd TKO.
Ryan Ventura: Dennis Bermudez has made a reputation as one of the best grapplers in the house and he’ll be taking on the hard hitting Deigo Brandao. If Dennis can’t take Deigo to the ground, Deigo will knock his head clean into the 3rd row at the Pearls Casino Resort, and it won’t be pretty. Deigo Brandao 1st round.
TJ Dillashaw vs. John Dodson
Top Prediction: TJ via Decision
Trent Reinsmith: T.J. Dillashaw rubbed a lot of people the wrong way by appearing to take an easier fight early in this season of “TUF”, while his opponent John Dodson rubbed people the wrong way by playing the role of mole in notifying Team Bisping of the fights ahead of time. Personalities aside, this is an intriguing matchup. Dillashaw is the bigger fighter with strong wrestling skills, while Dodson has speed and footwork on his side. Dillashaw is going to have a tough time adjusting levels and taking down the much smaller Dodson due to his low center of gravity. I see Dodson’s perceived height disadvantage turning into an advantage here. John Dodson by decision.
Anton Gurevich: I think Dillashaw's height advantage will play a significant role in this encounter. Yes, Dodson is incredible quick and he has a good well-rounded unorthodox game, but T.J. Dillashaw is way more powerful and calculated than his opponent. Dodson will jump around Dillashaw, who will try to pick his shots from distance. My pick is T.J. via TKO in Round 2.
Joey Santosus: I suspect both of these fighters will find some degree of success in the UFC, as each possess a solid wrestling base and come from a well-respected camp. Dillashaw, an undefeated prospect out of Team Alpha Male, relies heavily on his ability to drag opponents to the mat, where he batters them from top position while looking to sink in a choke. Dodson, meanwhile, fights out of Jackson's MMA and prefers to use his wrestling in reverse, keeping the fight upright where his speed often allows him to deliver strikes and move in and out of danger unscathed. The major disparity between the two, however, lies in their experience. While Dodson has competed in 16 professional bouts since 2004, Dillashaw came into the TUF house with just four pro-fights to his name. Though it's hard to predict how any one fighter will react once they've stepped into the octagon for the first time, Dodson is far less likely to suffer an adrenalin dump and should be able to outlast and outwork Dillashaw to take the nod. John Dodson via Decision.
Ryan Ventura: Both fighters had spectacular showings in the house and have truly earned the right to be Bantamweight finalists for The Ultimate Fighter 14. TJ is a very skilled fighter with a strong wrestling background that will give any opponent problems, but I believe John Dodson is much better and will be able to fight against Dillashaw’s wrestling abilities. John Dodson via decision.
Tony Ferguson vs. Yves Edwards
Top Prediction: Ferguson via TKO in Round 2
Trent Reinsmith: “TUF” season 13 winner Tony Ferguson will look to take another step up the UFC ladder when he meets veteran Yves Edwards on Saturday. Look for this one to stay standing even though both fighters are capable on the ground. Ferguson has shown a lot of power and confidence in his hands in his last two fights and they will serve him well in this bout as well. Tony Ferguson by second round TKO.
Anton Gurevich: Yves Edwards is a very experienced fighter, who made his Octagon debut back at UFC 33. Edwards impressed against Rafaello Oliveira, and is currently 9-5 in his UFC campaign. Yes, Tony Ferguson won the Ultimate Fighter 13, but I feel like Edward's experience will be too much for Brock Lesnar's DeathClutch Gym product. Ferguson has a terrific KO power, but I think that's something a veteran like Edwards already knows how to avoid. Yves Edwards via Decision.
Joey Santosus: TUF 13 winner Tony Ferguson looks to make passage into the upper echelon of competition at 155, but must first best the man guarding the gate, Yves Edwards. Edwards, a 14-year veteran of the sport, will enter the octagon for his 60th professional fight on Saturday, with sights set on improving to 4-1 in his current UFC stint. While Edwards will offer "El Cucuy" an interesting challenge stylistically, mixing dynamic striking with a slick ground game, Ferguson has shown steady improvement since his time on the show. After battering Ramsey Nijem to win the six-figure contact, the Team Death Clutch fighter followed-up by punishing Aaron Riley at UFC 135. Though I expect the "Thugjitsu Master" to make him earn it, I like Ferguson to find a home for one of those nasty left hands, both picking up the victory and effectively earning his right of passage. Tony Ferguson via 2nd Rnd KO.
Ryan Ventura: “The master of Thug Jitsu” Yves Edwards is one of the longest active fights in MMA today and he’ll be facing a young and hungry Tony Ferguson. Edwards has more than enough skills on the ground to tap out Ferguson and he has great skills on the feet too. I’d say Yves has the advantage in this fight with his experience combined with his abilities as a fighter. Yves Edwards 3rd round submission.
Louis Gaudinot vs. Johnny Bedford
Top Prediction: Bredford via Decision
Trent Reinsmith: Two fighters that were eliminated during the most recent season of “TUF” will square off in this bout. Johnny Bedford will look to redeem himself after his semifinal loss to John Dodson, while Louis Gaudinot will look to follow the game plan that Dodson laid out for defeating Bedford. The difference in this one will be that Gaudinot’s skill set is not on the same level as Bedford’s and he won’t be able to deal with the wrestling of Bedford. Johnny Bedford by decision.
Anton Gurevich: Once again, it's how to predict how Gaudinot and Bedford improved since their appearance on TUF 14. On the paper, Bedford is bigger and stronger than Gaudinot, with a very good ground game and significantly bigger professional MMA experience. My MMA logic says John Bedford via Submission in Round 2.
Joey Santosus: Bedford showed promise during his time in the house, utilizing his size and reach advantage to overwhelm opponents before eventually being pummeled by John Dodson in the semifinal round. Gaudinot, meanwhile, looked impressive in his knockout victory over Paul McVeigh, but the natural flyweight was outmatched by a physically stronger Dustin Pague in the quaterfinals. Much like his encounter with Pague, Guadinot will once again find himself at a marked size disadvantage on Saturday, as Bedford stands approximately seven-inches taller. Unless he is able to move in and out without getting forced into tie-ups, I expect Guadinot to suffer the same fate as he did on the show. Johnny Bedford via Decision.
Ryan Ventura: I don’t really know much about either guy, but based on what I’ve seen I’d give the advantage to Johnny Bedford. He is the more experienced fighter and in my opinion has the more well-rounded skill set. Bedford has made a reputation as a sort of submission machine, so I’m going to pick him to win 2nd round via submission.