LowKick.com UFC 129: GSP vs. Shields PredictionsPosted on April 29, 2011, 10:56 AM by Anton Gurevich
UFC Welterweight Title Fight: Georges St. Pierre vs. Jake Shields
Top Prediction: GSP via Decision.
Anton Gurevich: It’s hard to pick against Georges St. Pierre against any other Welterweight on the planet. GSP is a complete fighter, in both mind and muscles. St. Pierre’s striking will be the difference in this one, with “Rush” punishing Jake Shields at will before finishing the business in Round 3. GSP via TKO in Round 3.
Joey Santosus: While I believe this fight will be a much more competitive one than the odds suggest, I cannot bring myself to pick against GSP. The champ's signature blend of brains and brawn will lead him to triumph once again. That said, I do not, however, see St. Pierre being the first guy to finish Shields in 11 years. Georges St. Pierre via Unanimous Decision.
Ryan Ventura: Jake is a legit threat to GSP's crown, but all the cards are stacked against Shields. GSP is a much more well-rounded fighter and will use the striking technique that made him famous in the first place. GSP 3rd round TKO.
UFC Featherweight Title Fight: Jose Aldo vs. Mark Hominick
Top Prediction: Aldo via TKO in Round 2
Anton Gurevich: It will be interesting to see Jose Aldo finally fighting a “natural” striker in Mark Hominick. I’m yet to join Jose Aldo’s hype train, as in fact, I even find it hard to rank the Brazilian among Top 5 P4P fighters in the World. I’ll go with the upset here. Mark Hominick via TKO in Round 2.
Joey Santosus: Any time you put two elite strikers in front of one another, anything can happen. But, while Hominick is as worthy a contender as any at 145, it’s not by accident that he is challenging for the title in front of his hometown crowd in Toronto. Look for Aldo to make a statement in his UFC debut. Jose Aldo via 2nd Rnd TKO.
Ryan Ventura: Jose Aldo is facing his toughest opponent to date for his Featherweight title. Mark Hominick is an opponent who can actually check his kicks, not speaking about challenging for the belt in his hometown. Hominick 1st round KO.
Randy Couture vs. Lyoto Machida
Top Prediction: Machida via TKO in Round 3
Anton Gurevich: Machida is faster, stronger and… well, younger. Couture’s only advantage on paper is wrestling, and you can’t defeat someone like Lyoto Machida with just wrestling. This way or another, I expect an epic fight and a truly inspirational performance by Randy Couture. Machida via Decision.
Joey Santosus: For Couture to not only take this fight, but to request it, gives you the sense that he knows something that he isn't sharing with the rest of the world. I like the Hall-of-Famer to come in with a great gameplan, execute, and grind out a victory like only Captain America can. Randy Couture via Split Decision.
Ryan Ventura: We've seen what The Dragon has done to fighters who try to close the distance, ask Thiago Silva and Rashad Evans what happened when they tried. With all due respect to Randy, I think Machida could be The Natural's last opponent. Machida 2 Round TKO.
Ben Henderson vs. Mark Bocek
Top Prediction: Ben Henderson via Decision.
Anton Gurevich: Bocek is a beast, but I believe Ben Henderson simply has more tools at his disposal to win this fight. This one can go either way, but I’ll still pick Ben Henderson to get his hand raised via Decision.
Joey Santosus: On a card full of tough fights to pick, this may be the toughest. With that in mind, look for Bendo to survive a couple "close calls" en-route to outpointing the Canadian in what could quite possibly be Fight of the Night. Ben Henderson via Split Decision
Ryan Ventura: Mark Bocek is an awesome ground grappler, but I believe Ben Henderson had what it takes to keep it on the feet. Bocek will be in huge trouble against a hungry Henderson if he can't take him to the ground. Bendo 2nd Round TKO.
Vladimir Matyushenko vs. Jason Brilz
Top Prediction: Jason Brilz via Decision.
Anton Gurevich: Vladimir Matyushenko has very heavy hands, and can definitely finish Brilz with one well-timed punch. Obviously, there will be a lot of wrestling involved, but I still feel like we might see a finish in this one. My prediction is Vladimir Matyushenko via TKO in Round 3 (Ground and Pound).
Joey Santosus: Though Brilz impressed me with his unofficial victory over Nogueira last May, he's been sidelined with a back injury since. Returning from nearly a year long lay-off against a dangerous veteran like Vladdy is a tough task, and while I wouldn't put it past Brilz to surprise me again, I expect Matyushenko to come out ahead on the judge's scorecards. Vladimir Matyushenko via Unanimous Decision.
Ryan Ventura: Going into this fight I believe Brillz is the younger, faster opponent. But experience and technique could be The Janitor's keys to victory. Vladdy via Decision.
Photos: Francis Specker