CompuStrike: Will BJ Penn be able to keep it standing?Posted on February 25, 2011, 12:46 PM by Anton Gurevich
Former UFC Welterweight and Lightweight Champion BJ "The Prodigy" Penn will face one of the toughest challenges of his career, fighting "the ultimate grinder" Jon Fitch at the main event of UFC 127 in Sydney, Australia. According to our friends at CompuStrike, Penn is way more efficient on his feet, landing more than twice as many arm strikes as Fitch. However, Jon Fitch is superior in every other aspect of the game, having takedowns and ground strikes as his main weapon.
Here's some key facts:
Fitch landed more than three times as many ground strikes as Penn
Fitch was successful on 64% of his takedown attempts (27 of 42- an avg. of five attempts per fight)
Penn's opponents were successful on just 15 of 58 takedown attempts (26%- with St Pierre accouting for eight of them in their two fights)
Penn attempted just 10 takedowns in 12 fights tracked by CompuStrike, hitting on seven (an avg. of less than one attempt per fight)
So, statistics-wise, the key for BJ Penn's victory in this fight is to avoid takedowns and keep the fight standing. Is it even possible against a takedown machine like Jon Fitch? We'll have to wait for Saturday night to find out. For full CompuStrike UFC 127 Preview please visit CompuStrike.com.