Alistair Overeem and Brock Lesnar Head to Head: Who will win at UFC 141?Posted on December 26, 2011, 10:36 AM by Anton Gurevich
This Friday, Alistair Overeem and Brock Lesnar will collide in the main event of UFC 141 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight will determine the identity of the #1 contender for Junior dos Santos' UFC Heavyweight title, won from the hands of Cain Velasquez back in November, at UFC's debut on FOX.
The fight between Overeem and Lesnar is one of the most anticipated match-ups in the history of the UFC Heavyweight division, featuring two 265-lbs monsters who always deliver exciting fights inside the ring or cage. It's hard to predict the outcome of this match-up, but one thing is true - expect fireworks.
Here's Alistair Overeem and Brock Lesnar head to head:
Striking: 75-25 Alistair Overeem
Alistair Overeem is without a doubt currently one of the best Heavyweight striker in MMA. During his 2010 K-1 WGP campaign, Ubereem went toe-to-toe with some of the best pure strikers in combat sports, and eventually won the title by bulldozing the veterans Tyrone Spong, Gokhan Saki and Peter Aerts all in one night.
However, I think it's important to note that Alistair Oveereem is a relatively slow puncher. Overeem usually covers up, and uses his physical strength to dictate the tempo. The Dutchman usually wins his fights at the fence (or the ropes), where physically inferior opponents simply can't survive the rain of laser-sharp K-1 Champion-level bombs. It will be interesting to see how Overeem's striking looks against someone equally powerful.
Striking will be Alistair Overeem's main advantage in this match-up. If "The Reem" adjusts his style to Brock Lesnar's main weakness - hands speed and head movement, it could be a very short night for the former WWE star.
Wrestling: 70-30 Brock Lesnar
In my humble opinion, Brock Lesnar's wrestling skills will be a deciding factor on Friday night. If Overeem can stop Lesnar's takedown, former UFC Heavyweight Champion will be in a whole world of trouble on his feet, but if Lesnar puts Overeem on his back - the fight could quickly end via a devastating ground-and-pound. Overeem's striking style could help Brock Lesnar to close the distance very quickly, and shoot for a takedown. Ubereem never faced a wrestler of Lesnar's caliber, and will have a mountain to climb when the NCAA Division 1 Champion shoots for a double leg.
Overeem's huge experience advantage will be the key in preventing from Brock Lesnar to get a takedown and keep the fight in stand up. Plus, many people seem to forget about Alistair Overeem's solid grappling credentials, something that could serve as "Plan B" for the Dutchman.
Clinch: 65-35 Alistair Overeem
At least in my opinion, Alistair Overeem has the best clinch/dirty boxing game on the planet. Overeem is very experienced in this position, and will have a reasonable advantage over Brock Lesnar when the two lock horns at the fence. Big Heavyweights usually take the action to the fence, and Brock Lesnar is most likely to find himself in that position when he tries to dig for a double-leg takedown. That's when Overeem can unleash fury with Guillotine choke attempts, elbow strikes, uberknees... you get the point. Brock Lesnar has to be very careful at the fence.
Ground and Pound: 55-45 Brock Lesnar
Brock Lesnar's gameplan revolves around putting Alistair Overeem on his back, where he can finish the fight via Ground and Pound. Lesnar will weight around 275lbs inside the Octagon, and that's a very big man to have on top of you, especially when that man is a decorated wrestler. However, Overeem's physical strength and BJJ skills could prevent from Lesnar to do what he did to Frank Mir at UFC 100. I will not be surprised if Overeem sweeps Lesnar, and unleashes his version of gnp, similar to the outcome of the fight with Brett Rogers.