Strikeforce: Melendez vs. Masvidal LowKick.com Staff Predictions
Posted on December 17, 2011, 12:06 PM by Anton GurevichGilbert Melendez vs. Jorge Masvidal
Top Prediction: Melendez via TKO in Round 3
Anton Gurevich: Obviously, Gilbert Melendez is a clear favorite in this fight. The reigning Strikeforce Lightweight champ paid his dues against some of the best fighters this division has to offer, proving he’s one of the best 155’ers on the planet. Yet, I feel like Masvidal is the man to defeat “El Nino”. Masvidal has an excellent striking game and in-cage tactics that could cause troubles even to some of the most experienced fighters in the game. I’ll roll the dice for an upset here, Jorge Masvidal via KO/TKO in Round 4.
Trent Reinsmith: Many see Jorge Masvidal as the biggest test of Gilbert Melendez’s Strikeforce Lightweight title reign. While this may be true, I just don’t see Masvidal getting past Melendez. Masvidal is the stronger of the two fighters, but his striking style is a counter striking style and that will not bode well for him if Melendez comes out and sets a relentless pace. Add to that, the only advantage that Masvidal has is in striking, which leads one to believe that Melendez will look to take this fight to the ground via his wrestling. Melendez by decision.
Cristiane Santos vs. Hiroko Yamanaka
Top Prediction: Cyborg via TKO in Round 1
Anton Gurevich: Yamanaka is a very interesting challenge for the female MMA bulldozer in Cris Cyborg. She has an excellent striking game, fantastic submission skills, and a very good clinch that could frustrate Cyborg at the fence. But at the end of the day, Cyborg is Cybog, and Hiroko Yamanaka knows just like anyone else that she has to fight the best fight of her life to defeat the Brazilian legend. I like surprises, but I don’t think we’ll get one here. Cris Santos via TKO in Round 2.
Trent Reinsmith: The odds in this fight are pretty ridiculous. Cyborg is coming in at -1000, while Yamanaka is +600. Cyborg has not fought since June of last year, while Yamanaka is coming off a July 9 victory. Yamanaka has one advantage in this bout and that is her height and reach. With that being said, despite the fact that she may be one of the top fighters in the 145-pound division, she doesn’t stand much of a chance against Cyborg’s powerful striking. Santos by second round TKO.
Gegard Mousasi vs. Ovince St. Preux
Top Prediction: Mousasi via KO/TKO in Round 3
Anton Gurevich: Gegard “The Dreamcatcher” Mousasi is without a doubt one of the best Light Heavyweights on the planet. The Dutchman is a well-rounded fighter with a skillset that could challenge anyone of the current 205 elite. To prove his worth, Gegard Mousasi will have to defeat the physically stronger Ovince St. Preux, who will be looking to make a statement against the former Strikeforce champion. OSP’s wrestling makes him a very tough match-up for Mousasi, but I believe that “The Dreamcatcher’s” experience will be a deciding factor in this encounter. This is a very tough fight to pick, and I won’t be surprised if OSP gets the “W” here, but I’ll go with the betting lines picking Gegard Mousasi via TKO in Round 3.
Trent Reinsmith: It’s hard to believe that Mousasi, with his record of 31-3-2 is still only 26 years old. Mousasi is one of the most relaxed and detached fighters this side of Fedor. His calm and cool nature allows him to react well and thing through his options. He’ll need that when he faces OSP who will most likely look to avoid the stand-up of Mousasi by taking him to the mat where he may have more of a chance. However, I don’t see him able to grind the victory out over Mousasi, who has 10 submission wins to his name. Mousasi by second round submission.
KJ Noons vs. Billy Evangelista
Top Prediction: Noons via Decision
Anton Gurevich: I think KJ Noons will look to prove a point after a disappointing defeat to Jorge Masvidal. With a third consecutive defeat on his record, Noons would find himself far, far away from the mix for a shot at the Strikeforce Lightweight title, and perhaps an opportunity to redeem himself against Jorge Masvidal. Billy Evangelista is more than a game opponent for KJ Noons, but I’ll go with the favorite in this one as well. Noons via a dominant decision.
Trent Reinsmith: In an interesting turn, both of these fighters are coming off unanimous decision losses to the man that will be fighting in the main event Jorge Masvidal. Odds are that this one will stay standing since neither fighter has ever pulled out a submission victory. Of the two Noons is the more accomplished striker, so look for him to take the win, but don’t expect a (T)KO. Noons by decision.


Comments
Maybe I'm a hater but I don't believe Gegard's all around MMA game is as good as people think, wouldn't be surprised at all if he lost.
Sure bet of the night, Cyborg by brutality
I dont have any prob with it if he looses , as long as he doesnt get robbed again , like the jardine fight.
OSP is going to pull off the upset with a wrestling decision
@anton. again you have called a very dodgy decision in the main fight. masvidal via 4th tko. sure masvidal is hard to connect with cleanly but come on, melendez is a relentless fighter and in my opnion a level up from masvidal. this result seemed the only way it could go.
OSP going to pull off the upset on Gegard, if you are a gambler I would suggest making a good wager on this.
Basically the main 4 fights are all HUGE favourites, don't know if I've seen a card with such heavy favourites.
- Melendez looked like a beast against Kawajiri, but lets remember that it is Kawajiri and not someone like Maynard or Ben Henderson. I think Melendez is up there and this very well may be a walkthrough for himbut I wouldn't bet my house on him just because of his last fight. Masvidal has survived against killing machines like Paul Daley and even beaten men such as Joe Lauzon. I think this is going to be an exciting fight and a better test for Gilbert and will really give us a better idea of where he is in the rankings.
Melendez by Dec.
- I have to be honest and say I don't know hardly anything about female MMA outside of people like Santos, Kaufman, Rousey, Tate, Conen and a few others. From the little I do know is that Cyborg is most likely the best female to ever compete in MMA (maybe all combat sports) and is an absolute wrecking machine in every department of MMA - amazing grappler, good wrestling, powerhouse and devastating striking. I don't know much about her opponent but I'm going to be arrogant/realistic and admit it doesn't matter. Theres a reason she is going into this fight as one of the biggest favourites in MMA history.
Cyborg by TKO.
- I am very surprised that theres a decent amount of people picking St. Preux to beat Mousasi. Obviously anything can happen but if Mousasi is too win it will be a major upset in my eyes. Mousasi is the younger and far more experienced fighter, with advantages in all areas except strength and wrestling most likely. His striking is FAR superior and has been tested against much higher competition - his amateur boxing record is 12-1 with all wins coming by KO, his kickboxing record is unblemished and has an outstanding MMA record.
Gegard by TKO.
- Evangelista vs. Noons. Not much to say about this fight, both comnig off losses to Masvidal and KJ probably coming off worse but he has faced a more steadt diet of higher ranked fighters and even gave Diaz a decent fight not long ago. Billy isn't big enough to grapple Noons in my opinion and isn't fast enough on the feet to deal with his boxing.
Noons by Dec.
cool story bro, tried to give a +1 sharp but the system is bugged again
"Obviously anything can happen but if Mousasi is too win it will be a major upset in my eyes." Im guessing that was a typo, since you went on to say Gegard by TKO.
Same picks here aswell; Strikeforce always have mismatches.
The toughest fight on this card to call is on the prelims;
Wilcox vs. Fodor.
yea bad one on my part, typo
Solid picks! Pretty much what I've got.
Anton why you always ALWAYS try to pick against the odds... Only one that i have seen go right was Alvarez pick